Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Estrela
28.2%
Draw
51.5%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Estrela
vs
1.46
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).