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AHT: 00CSV

17 Aug 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.3%
Dender
28.0%
Draw
46.7%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Dender

vs
1.44

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
9.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).