Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Burnley
23.6%
Draw
15.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Burnley
vs
0.95
Leicester
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).