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29 Nov 2020 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Mallorca
28.2%
Draw
26.8%
Logrones

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Mallorca

vs
0.92

Logrones

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).