Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Cartagena
24.0%
Draw
58.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Cartagena
vs
1.66
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).