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DHT: 01CSV

20 Jan 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Truro
33.2%
Draw
35.6%
Brackley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Truro

vs
1.04

Brackley Town

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.9%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).