Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Clermont
22.7%
Draw
55.2%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Clermont
vs
1.64
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).