Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.0%
Trabzonspor
16.8%
Draw
7.2%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Trabzonspor
vs
0.85
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.8%
4-0
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).