Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Swansea
23.9%
Draw
17.6%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Swansea
vs
0.95
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).