⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 00CSV

19 Aug 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
54.0%
Carlisle
23.6%
Draw
22.4%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Carlisle

vs
1.20

Solihull

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).