Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Logrones
26.4%
Draw
35.2%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Logrones
vs
1.25
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).