Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Brentford
31.6%
Draw
41.8%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Brentford
vs
1.21
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).