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26 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.1%
Wycombe
25.2%
Draw
23.8%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Wycombe

vs
0.85

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).