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07 Dec 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Carrarese
28.4%
Draw
46.5%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Carrarese

vs
1.49

Palermo

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).