Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Spezia
27.9%
Draw
24.7%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Spezia
vs
1.05
Mantova
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).