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HHT: 20

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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87.0%
Macclesfield
7.5%
Draw
5.5%
South Shields

Expected Goals (xG)

4.25

Macclesfield

vs
1.20

South Shields

Markets

BTTS68.8%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.590.8%
Over 3.579.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-1
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
5-1
6.0%
4-0
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
5-0
5.0%
2-1
4.7%
4-2
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
5-2
3.6%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).