Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Harrogate
28.4%
Draw
44.4%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Harrogate
vs
1.21
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).