Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Livorno
31.0%
Draw
24.9%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Livorno
vs
0.91
Brescia
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).