Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Hamburg
23.8%
Draw
29.9%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Hamburg
vs
1.53
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).