Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Sunderland
33.0%
Draw
31.6%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Sunderland
vs
0.97
Millwall
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).