Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Fuenlabrada
26.3%
Draw
33.1%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.20
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).