Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.8%
Almeria
12.8%
Draw
8.4%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Almeria
vs
0.89
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.5%
Over 3.553.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
5-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).