Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Girona
26.9%
Draw
29.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Girona
vs
1.11
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).