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DHT: 11CSV

02 Apr 2024 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
West Ham
27.1%
Draw
32.0%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

West Ham

vs
1.41

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).