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AHT: 02CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Braunschweig
20.2%
Draw
63.5%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Braunschweig

vs
2.35

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS62.4%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-4
3.9%
0-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).