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DHT: 11CSV

20 Jan 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Heidenheim
24.5%
Draw
47.9%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Heidenheim

vs
1.81

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).