Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Hatayspor
20.9%
Draw
20.3%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Hatayspor
vs
1.59
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-2
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-2
3.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).