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DHT: 12CSV

24 Sept 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.1%
Leyton Orient
21.6%
Draw
36.3%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Leyton Orient

vs
1.53

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).