Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Lugo
30.1%
Draw
40.8%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Lugo
vs
1.12
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).