Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Sheffield Weds
26.5%
Draw
57.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.62
Swansea
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).