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AHT: 12

24 Jan 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Mantova
22.0%
Draw
63.5%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Mantova

vs
2.08

Venezia

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).