Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Casa Pia
25.7%
Draw
44.5%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Casa Pia
vs
1.39
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).