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AHT: 01CSV

02 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Valenciennes
29.0%
Draw
46.1%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Valenciennes

vs
1.14

Orleans

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.4%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).