Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Vitória Guimarães
24.7%
Draw
19.8%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Vitória Guimarães
vs
0.97
Estrela
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).