Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Barnsley
22.0%
Draw
38.6%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Barnsley
vs
1.55
Bolton
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
0-0
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).