Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Reading
23.1%
Draw
55.4%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Reading
vs
1.60
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).