Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Reading
19.9%
Draw
23.3%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Reading
vs
1.20
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).