Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.2%
Leeds
17.5%
Draw
6.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Leeds
vs
0.49
Oxford
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.5%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
12.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
2.9%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).