Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Crotone
19.1%
Draw
60.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Crotone
vs
2.31
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).