Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Magdeburg
24.0%
Draw
51.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Magdeburg
vs
1.94
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
4.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).