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21 Feb 2026 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Hartberg
28.1%
Draw
18.0%
Grazer AK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Hartberg

vs
0.75

Grazer AK

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).