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DHT: 11CSV

10 Jan 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.5%
Laval
27.4%
Draw
46.1%
Red Star

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Laval

vs
1.22

Red Star

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).