Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Colchester
27.1%
Draw
25.0%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Colchester
vs
0.87
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).