Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Harpenden Town
24.5%
Draw
29.0%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Harpenden Town
vs
1.16
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).