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DHT: 00CSV

18 May 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Yeovil
30.3%
Draw
33.0%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Yeovil

vs
1.13

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).