Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
St Etienne
19.0%
Draw
21.2%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
St Etienne
vs
1.19
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).