Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
AFC Wimbledon
23.6%
Draw
34.8%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.29
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).