Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Burgos
31.4%
Draw
15.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Burgos
vs
0.48
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS26.1%
Over 0.580.9%
Over 1.548.9%
Over 2.522.9%
Over 3.58.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.6%
0-0
19.1%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-2
2.2%
4-0
1.5%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).