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04 May 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
Pescara
24.9%
Draw
22.1%
Reggiana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Pescara

vs
1.13

Reggiana

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).