Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
CSKA Moskva
27.2%
Draw
24.3%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
CSKA Moskva
vs
1.11
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).